Probability Unit
Learning Outcomes
Level 2
Probability
- Investigate simple situations that involve elements of chance, recognising equal and different likelihoods and acknowledging uncertainty.
Level 3
Probability
- Investigate simple situations that involve elements of chance by comparing experimental results with expectations from models of all the outcomes, acknowledging that samples vary.
Level 4
Probability
- Investigate situations that involve elements of chance by comparing experimental distributions with expectations from models of the possible outcomes.
- Use simple fractions and percentages to describe probabilities.
1) Describe in your own words what these words mean.
Probability - I think probability means a problem to solve or a chance of an event happening.
Impossible - I think impossible means there is no way something can happen e.g. if I asked Robert at Mairehau to ride Pepper it would never happen because she is dead.
Unlikely - I think unlikely means that it could possibly happen but there isn't a big chance e.g. if I asked one of the workers at Mairehau if I could ride Bugs there isn't a big chance of getting him because he is really popular.
Even chance - I think even chance means that there is a 50 50 possibility of you getting something or having something. e.g. there is 4 bottles of coke, 2 of them are diet coke and the other 2 are raspberry I have a 50% chance of getting diet and the other 50% is getting raspberry flavored coke.
Likely - I think likely means there is a higher chance of something happening e.g. it is a really good chance for me to get Sunshine because he is a really experienced horse that barley anyone can ride.
It was good to see you using the language of maths to describe statistical outcomes. You are able to describe different likelihoods with a clear understanding.
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